Decision Support Analytics

Your risk tools show what might break.
We show why, and what to do about it.

Atlas Analytics helps organizations make better decisions under uncertainty using operations research, probabilistic models, and statistical tools. Fixed scope. Quantitative rigor. Actionable output.

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3 weeks
Fixed engagement
Causal
Not correlational
Prescriptive
Ranked interventions

Quantitative decision support. Nothing else.

We have a specific point of view on what we do well. This clarity is how we deliver results in three weeks instead of three months.

What we do
  • Bayesian causal risk models
  • Supply chain disruption analysis
  • Energy policy & grid planning simulation
  • Operations research & optimization
  • Probabilistic scenario modeling
  • Executive decision frameworks

Atlas Analytics is a focused practice. We do one thing: build quantitative decision support tools that help organizations act with confidence under uncertainty. We don't do strategy generalism, IT implementation, or broad advisory work. If you need a model, a framework, or a simulation — we're the right call. If you need a hundred-slide deck, we're not.

The supply chain risk industry has a methodology problem

Big Consulting

Months of waiting, walls of slides

Open-ended engagements that deliver slide decks, not probabilistic models. Generalist teams who don't specialize in causal inference.

SaaS Platforms

Monitoring, not modeling

Correlation-based risk scores and real-time alerts. They tell you something is wrong. They can't tell you which intervention reduces risk the most.

Internal Teams

Spreadsheets and gut feel

Most procurement teams still manage risk with heat maps and qualitative assessments. No quantification of disruption propagation paths.

The Gap

No one models causation

Between expensive generalists and shallow dashboards, there's no focused offering that delivers causal risk intelligence in a fixed timeframe.

Primary Offering

Strategic Risk Intelligence Tool (SRIT)

A three-week, fixed-scope Bayesian supply chain risk assessment delivered to procurement and risk teams at large organizations. Causal modeling that maps disruption propagation paths, quantifies scenario probabilities, and ranks interventions.

Deliverable 1

Disruption Probability Model

Bayesian network mapping your supply chain's causal risk structure with quantified node probabilities.

Deliverable 2

Scenario Simulation Set

Posterior probability distributions across disruption scenarios, with propagation path analysis showing how risk cascades through your commodity network.

Deliverable 3

Executive Decision Report

Interventions ranked by risk reduction impact. Clear recommendations with quantified confidence intervals.

Week 1
Map & Model
Supply chain network mapping. Causal structure identification. Data integration and prior elicitation.
Week 2
Quantify & Simulate
Bayesian network construction. Scenario probability quantification. Disruption propagation analysis.
Week 3
Prescribe & Deliver
Intervention ranking by risk reduction. Executive briefing. Standardized intelligence report.
Request SRIT Assessment →

Additional Services

Beyond SRIT, we offer specialized analytics engagements tailored to specific decision problems.

Grid Planning & Policy Simulation

Capacity optimization, renewable integration modeling, and demand flexibility analysis for utilities and regulators.

Optimization Sprints

Focused two-week engagements applying operations research to specific operational bottlenecks. Clear problem, clear output.

Executive Education Bootcamps

Decision science workshops for leadership teams. Bayesian thinking, scenario analysis, and quantitative risk frameworks.

Built for organizations that make high-stakes decisions under uncertainty

Energy & Utilities

Grid expansion planning, renewable integration risk, and supplier resilience for critical infrastructure. Grounded in published energy systems research.

Supply Chain & Procurement

Supplier disruption modeling for large procurement organizations. Move from heat maps to quantified causal risk models that inform sourcing decisions.

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Public Sector & Government

Decision support for state and local government agencies. Policy simulation, resource optimization, and evidence-based planning under uncertainty.

Founded By
Dr. Mark Rodgers
Research informing NJ energy policy · Active advisory engagements with utilities and procurement organizations

Dr. Mark Rodgers is a Senior Lecturer at Columbia Business School and former faculty at Rutgers University, where he led research in operations research, energy systems, and supply chain analytics. His work applies Bayesian causal modeling, generation expansion planning, and network optimization to real decisions — for procurement organizations managing supplier risk, utilities navigating capacity uncertainty, and regulators designing energy policy. Published in Applied Energy, Energy Policy, IEEE, and Computers & Industrial Engineering.

Columbia Business School · Applied Energy · Energy Policy · IEEE · NJ Board of Public Utilities

The companies that understand causation will outmaneuver the ones still watching dashboards.

Atlas Analytics exists to make that difference measurable.

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